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No role for control
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Wed, 19 Nov 2008 07:36
Finance Minister Trevor Manuel spoke out strongly against calls for
new exchange controls on Tuesday, saying their introduction would slow
South Africa's economic growth.
Speaking in the National Assembly, he said the purchases of South
African bonds and equities by foreigners had accounted for almost half
the country's financing needs between 2002 and 2007.
"Almost $20-billion per year - that's roughly R200-million at
today's exchange rate - is needed to finance our current account
deficit.
"So as people make these calls for new exchange controls and for
isolating South Africa, we need to remember that that gap in financing
our investment is in the order of R200-billion a year.
Harsh measures on foreigners"If we impose harsh measures on foreigners, we won't get that money,
and then we will have to slow down growth."
Manuel said continuing to attract foreign investment implied a need
to maintain confidence in
South Africa's macro-economic policies, and
to raise its economic growth rate.
"There's no shortage of good and bad ideas. Our task is to find the
good ones and move forward with the policy articulation and
implementation. Raising the cost of economic activity and restricting
our ability to trade is obviously not the right path for our country,"
he told MPs.
According to the Treasury, the rand has lost 33.8 percent of its
value against the dollar, 23.2 percent against the euro, and 15
percent against the British pound since 1 January this year.
Manuel warned that in the current international financial crisis,
many countries were set to suffer "terribly and tragically".
Repatriating resourcesAs firms in developed countries strove to repair their balance
sheets, they would tend to sell and repatriate resources back to their
home base.
"This has implications for us, as it has for many emerging
economies. The
depreciation of... the rand, in line with many other
emerging market currencies, is testimony to these developments."
Earlier on Tuesday, Treasury director-general Lesetja Kganyago told
members of Parliament's finance portfolio committee the rand was "among
the worst performers" in the world in the way the currency had reacted
to the crisis.
Manuel said the world financial crisis was giving way to a real
economy slowdown.
"In South Africa, we have experienced at least part of the financial
shock. Our exchange rate has depreciated sharply and the prices of our
equities and bonds have fallen far.
"Yet our sound and well-regulated banking system is not dependent on
foreign lines of credit and our exposure to toxic assets has been
nearly non-existent.
"Some firms with extensive international operations have seen
losses, but even these have been small. Our public debt levels are low
and our level of foreign currency debt is even lower.
This helps to
lower our vulnerability to financial shocks," he said.
He warned that global weaknesses in trade and investment would have
more far-reaching effects.
"Declining commodity prices and lower growth in major trading
partners will lower demand for South African exports and reduce the
income we derive from them," he said.